Prediction markets cover far more than elections. This is the full set of categories we track, with how each one defines an outcome, where the resolution source comes from, and the risks that are specific to that subject.
Prediction markets turn a question about the future into a contract that settles to a yes or a no. The subject matter changes how that works. A politics market may hinge on an official result, a weather market on a government reading, a sports market on a final score, and a crypto market on a price at a fixed time. Each category below explains what the contract actually measures, which source decides it, and the traps that are specific to that subject. We explain the mechanics, we do not tell you what to back.
Each category page explains the mechanics. Your eligibility depends on the platform and your region, so check the platform profiles and the legality page before you act.
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Sometimes. A regulated United States exchange may offer some categories and not others, and certain subjects such as sports event contracts have faced extra legal friction in some states. Check the legality page and the platform profile for the category you care about.
Every category page names the kind of resolution source it relies on, such as an official result, a government data release, a final score, or a recorded price at a set time. The contract pays one dollar for the correct side and nothing for the other.
No. We explain what each market measures and how it resolves so you can judge for yourself. We never predict an outcome or tell you what to trade.